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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, June 8, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 6 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Tift County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

A more summer-like pattern. A front is dissipating across the mid-sections of the Southeast over the next 2 days, and will serve to help trigger afternoon and evening showers and storms in an increasingly humid air mass. Skies will be sunny to partly cloudy for most locations. Showers will be most prevalent in portions of the lower Southeast. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows mostly 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in the lower Southeast. A hodge-podge of conditions is expected during the transport events of the next 3 days. The better chances of rain and the higher risks will be in southern GA and FL. Transport events tend to move slowly near the sources and to the east or northeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, June 8

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central and northern FL, the eastern panhandle, and southern GA. Moderate Risk in the western panhandle and southeast AL. Low Risk in northeast SC, central and eastern NC, and south-central and southeast VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, June 9

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern GA, northern FL, and the eastern panhandle. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central FL, east-central and eastern NC, and southeast VA. Low Risk in south-central and far southeast GA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, June 10

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central and northern FL, southern GA, eastern NC, and southeast VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, June 6, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 6 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Tift County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Mostly fair; scattered showers southern sections. The Gulf Coast front is dissipating as another front sags through the Carolinas. Partly cloudy with scattered showers toward FL; an isolated shower is possible with the northern front but it will be mostly dry. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in FL. Epidemic spread should be limited to areas near the FL and GA sources (and perhaps eastern NC Wednesday). The most favorable conditions will be on Wednesday in FL.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, June 6

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in central FL. Low Risk in eastern NC and northern FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, June 7

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central FL. Low Risk in southern GA, northern FL, and the eastern panhandle. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, June 4, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 4 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Tift County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 1 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Wilson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

A drier period. The cold front that entered the region over the weekend is now stalled over the Gulf Coast / northern FL, where it will remain for several days. It will be partly cloudy with scattered showers south of the front. Cooler, less humid air is in place north of the front; no rain is expected. A front dropping toward NC may trigger a shower late Tuesday into Wednesday. Highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows in the 60s mainland, 70s FL.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible in FL. The threat of any epidemic spread should be limited to central FL early this week, where mixed conditions prevail during the transport events.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, June 4

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in south-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, June 5

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in south-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, June 1, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 1 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Wilson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 30 May: First report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Sampson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Very wet weather this week. Unsettled weather continues, though the amount of clouds and showers lessens somewhat. One cold front will drop into NC Saturday. Another cold front will approach the Southeast from the west on Sunday. Showers may be enhanced ahead of the these fronts. Quite warm, highs in the 80s to low 90s, lows mostly 70s. Some drying will occur early next week.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in a few locations. Mixed to favorable conditions are expected during the majority of the transport events, most of which track generally to the east.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, June 1

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in west-central and southwest FL. Low Risk in northern FL, southern GA, and eastern NC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, June 2

HIGH Risk to cucurbits in eastern NC, southern GA, and far northern FL. Low Risk in a broad area of central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, June 3

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in eastern NC, southeast GA, and far southern SC. Low Risk in central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, May 30, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 30 May: First report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Sampson County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 25 May: First report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Brooks County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Very wet weather this week. Alberto is weakening as it moves through the Ohio Valley and into the Great Lakes during midweek. High pressure sits off the U.S. East Coast and moisture inflow remains strong. Clouds and showers are good bets. Highs in the 80s, lows in the upper 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely. Favorable conditions persist through midweek. The discovery of the source in eastern NC produces a threat to the mid-Atlantic growing region.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, May 30

Transport events track to the north. HIGH Risk in most of central and northern FL, the eastern panhandle, southwest and central GA, central NC, and the southern counties of central VA. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in northeast GA, western SC, and southwest NC. Low Risk in central VA and central MD. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, May 31

Events move ENE and northeast. HIGH Risk to cucurbits in central and northern FL, much of eastern NC, and southeast VA. Low Risk in southern SC, eastern MD, DE, and extreme southern NJ. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018

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