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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, April 26, 2013
 

*** Epidemic Update - 1-26 April: No new reports or updates. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 March: New Report from FL. CDM has been reported in a research plot in Collier County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Tranquil weather Friday transitioning to an extended period of unsettled weather. High pressure over the eastern U.S. today provides fair weather. A system now developing in the southern Plains will have increasing impact over the weekend as it moves into the mid-South and later the Southeast. Chance of showers present for many areas Saturday. Greater shower activity is expected for Sunday, especially for the mainland. Highs in the 70s and 80s, lows in the 50s and 60s.    


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. The known sources in southern FL are far enough away from the influence of the approaching frontal system such that the transport events are not likely to produce any epidemic spread ... for now. Transport events move west Friday and Saturday under sunny skies. Sunday's events begin to indicate a shift in the winds; events track to the northwest and north. However, sky conditions are still expected to be mostly sunny. Chance of rain during the first day of travel (on Sunday) creeps up to 20%, which will be enough to raise the risk out of the minimal level for some locations near the sources. Greater risk to cucurbits (both near and north of the sources) is expected early next week.     

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, April 26

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, April 27

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, April 28

Low Risk for cucurbits in portions of southwest and west-central FL. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, April 24, 2013
 

*** Epidemic Update - 1-24 April: No new reports or updates. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 March: New Report from FL. CDM has been reported in a research plot in Collier County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Mostly dry; a few showers possible toward the mainland. A cold front, west of the Southeast this morning, will move into the region tonight and Thursday. It will stall somewhere over northern FL / northern Gulf of Mexico Thursday night. This front is not as vigorous as previous ones. Only a few isolated to scattered showers are expected (for now). Highs in the 80s with some 70s mainland. Lows in the 50s and 60s with some 40s mainland Thursday night. Active weather with possibly heavy rain will arrive over the weekend.      


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread unlikely. Trajectories move southwest and west into the Gulf Wednesday and Thursday. Sky conditions and rain chances / amounts are unfavorable for epidemic spread.     

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, April 24

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, April 25

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, April 22, 2013
 

*** Epidemic Update - 1-22 April: No new reports or updates. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 March: New Report from FL. CDM has been reported in a research plot in Collier County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Active weather Monday; fair on Tuesday. The stalled front over FL is drifting southeast. High pressure lies along the eastern Seaboard. Another day of showers or storms for the FL peninsula today will be followed by a dry day on Tuesday. Highs in the 70s and 80s, lows from the 40s to 60s.     


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in southern FL again today. Monday's transport events move slowly near the source areas. Washout of any airborne spores is likely over southern FL. The event moves to the southwest / west late, but this is over open water and rainfall today will have cleansed the air. Tuesday's events track southwest and west into the Gulf. Unfavorable conditions are expected for Tuesday's transport events.     

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, April 22

HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern FL. Minimal Risk otherwise.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, April 23

Minimal Risk to cucurbits.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, April 19, 2013
 

*** Epidemic Update - 1-19 April: No new reports or updates. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 March: New Report from FL. CDM has been reported in a research plot in Collier County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Active Weather. A strong cold front moves into the region today and stalls over FL. Scattered to numerous showers or storms will occur each day. Greater rain amounts are expected toward the mainland today, and over the FL peninsula Saturday and Sunday as the front settled into that area. Highs in the 80s Friday, 70s and 80s Saturday and Sunday. Lows from the 40s (mainland interior) to 60s (parts of FL).     


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in southern FL, possible farther north. Transport events move north and northeast today under mixed conditions. Better chance of rain toward central FL. Mixed conditions are expected again on Saturday. Events move near or just north of the source initially, then southwest and west. Events track west or WNW on Sunday, when conditions will be favorable for epidemic spread. Potential should be confined to the southern peninsula, given the behavior of the events.     

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, April 19

Moderate Risk for central FL. Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL. Minimal Risk otherwise.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, April 20

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in southern FLMinimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.


 Risk prediction map for Day 3: Sunday, April 21

HIGH Risk to cucurbits in southern FLMinimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE


Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Wednesday, April 17, 2013
 

*** Epidemic Update - 1-17 April: No new reports or updates. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 15 March: New Report from FL. CDM has been reported in a research plot in Collier County, FL. Please see the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Lower Southeast

Mostly dry Wednesday; showers possible Thursday. High pressure is reasserting control over the Southeast during midweek. Very warm and moist air will flow into the region. Expect a dry day today with a few showers in southern FL. Chance of showers, mostly isolated in nature, will spread to the rest of the FL peninsula and southeast GA on Thursday. Highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s. Attention then turns to another strong Spring cold front will cause an extended period of unsettled weather this weekend into next week.     


OUTLOOK:

Overview: Slight chance of epidemic spread in central / southern FL. Wednesday's transport events track west to WNW. Thursday's events move to the northwest, easing off the west-central coast with time. Slightly favorable conditions are expected for each day's events.     

 Risk prediction map for Day 1: Wednesday, April 17

Low Risk for cucurbits in southern FL. Minimal Risk otherwise.


 Risk prediction map for Day 2: Thursday, April 18

Low Risk to cucurbits in southern and west-central FLMinimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.


Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2013

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