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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Monday, June 11, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 6 June: New report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Duplin County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 4 June: New report from GA. CDM has been confirmed in Tift County, GA. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast U.S.

Unsettled weather. Sunny to partly cloudy skies are expected across the region each day with increasing cloudiness into the afternoons. Scattered to numerous showers and storms will occur in the afternoons and evenings. The best chance of showers accompanies a front that will move through the Carolinas into GA today and then retreat northward on Tuesday. Highs mostly 80s, lows in the 60s and 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely. Mixed to favorable conditions dominate the transport events. Little in the way of long-range transport is anticipated, though short to mid-range transport and effective deposition are quite probable.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Monday, June 11

Transport events move near the sources and east. HIGH Risk for cucurbits in eastern NC, southern GA, and northern FL. Moderate Risk in central FL. Low Risk in southern SC. Minimal Risk to cucurbits elsewhere.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Tuesday, June 12

Transport events move near the sources in GA and FL, and near-sources and southwest from the NC sources, which lie in different wind flows north of the front. HIGH Risk for cucurbits in southern GA except the southeast, central and eastern SC, and central and eastern NC. Moderate Risk for central FL. Low Risk in southeast GA, far southern SC, and south-central VA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018