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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Tuesday, July 3, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 3 July: First report from NJ; new report from NC. CDM has been confirmed in Salem County, NJ; and in Wake County, NC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 1 July: First report from AL; new reports from GA and SC. CDM had been confirmed in Lee County, AL; Turner County, GA; and in Darlington and Lexington Counties, SC. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Southeast / mid-Atlantic U.S.

Hot with scattered showers. High pressure centered offshore is in control of the weather. Humidities are high; skies are sunny to partly cloudy. Afternoon / evening showers or storms are a possibility each day, moreso Wednesday and Thursday. The chance of rain is greater toward the lower Southeast. Some of the lower mid-Atlantic and the interior Southeast may remain dry. Highs in the 90s, lows in the 70s. Slight cooling trend by Thursday.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread probable in parts of the South. Due to the position of the weather features, wind flows generally from the east / southeast are causing most transport events to run near-source and toward the west. Conditions during most events will be slightly favorable to mixed. Enhanced clouds and precipitation chances on Saturday near the Gulf Coast will elevate risks. 

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Tuesday, July 3

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in the FL panhandle, southern AL, and southern GA. Low risk for eastern GA, SC except the northeast, southern NJ, northern DE, northeast MD, and southeast PA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Wednesday, July 4

HIGH Risk for southern GA, the FL panhandle, far southern AL, southern MS, and southeast LA. Moderate Risk for cucurbits in central MS, northern and central AL, northern and central GA, and all but far northern SC. Low Risk in central and northern FL, far northern SC, NC, southwest NJ, and eastern PA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 3: Thursday, July 5

Moderate Risk for cucurbits in southeast MS, southern AL, the FL panhandle, southern GA, central and eastern SC, and far southeast NC. Low Risk in central and northern FL, east-central MS, central and northern AL, northern GA, western SC, NC except the far southeast, extreme southern VA, southwest NJ, northern DE, and eastern PA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018