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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, September 28, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 26 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 21 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in George County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States / southern Canada

Drier weather; chance of showers Southeast and North. One front sags into the Southeast while another swings through the northern and central areas. The southern front is the more vigorous. Only lighter showers are expected with the northern system. Cooler and drier air lies in between the fronts and even more strongly behind the second front. There will be a very wide range of temperatures; highs run from the 40s/50s to the 80s, and lows fall from the 30s to the 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely in parts of the South. Conditions for survivable transport and deposition will be mixed to favorable in the southern areas each day.  Slightly favorable conditions occur across the northern tier of states / provinces. Transport events tend to track near-source and east to northeast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, September 28

HIGH Risk for the FL panhandle, southern AL, southern GA, and far southeast MS. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in east-central AL, central GA, eastern SC, and southeast NC. Low Risk for east-central GA, central SC, central and northeast NC, eastern IA, northern IL, southern WI, lower MI, southern ON, NY, southern VT and NH, and southern New England. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, September 29

HIGH Risk for far southeast LA, southeast MS, southern AL, the FL panhandle, southern and east-central GA, and central and eastern SC. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in eastern LA, central and southern MS except the southeast , central AL, west-central into northeast AL, western SC, and western and southern NC. Low Risk to cucurbits in northern sections of OH, IN, and IL; central and southern lower MI, southern WI, and eastern IA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018