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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Sunday, September 30, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 26 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 21 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in George County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States / southern Canada

Wetter North and South; drier with a few showers in between. Slow-moving / stalled fronts near the Gulf Coast and over the northern U.S. provide the foci for rainfall late this weekend into early next week. As the southern front washes out, moisture creeps northward and creates a chance of showers in the mid-South / Ohio Valley. Warm and warming temperatures; highs in the 60s to 80s, lows in the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread likely near the Gulf Coast. Transport events move east to northeast Sunday, and a variety of directions on Monday. Conditions are most favorable in the South, especially near the Gulf Coast. Minimal risks for much of the East Coast.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Sunday, September 30

HIGH Risk for southeast MS, ,southern AL, southern GA, and the FL panhandle. Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northern LA, far southern AR, east-central AL, central and northern GA, far western SC, and western NC. Low Risk for eastern IA, southern WI, northern IL, central and southern MI, far northern IN and OH, southern ON, and western NY. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Monday, October 1

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in northeast and southeast LA, southeast MS, southern AL, the FL panhandle, southern GA, far southern SC, southwest NC, eastern TN, east-central KY, and southwest OH. Low Risk to cucurbits in northern FL, central and northern AL, northeast MS, western and central TN and KY, IN, northern IL, eastern IA, southern WI, central and southern MI, OH except the southwest, southern ON, western PA, NY except the north and southeast, southern New England, and southern VT and NH. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018