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CUCURBIT DOWNY MILDEW ipmPIPE

 

Cucurbit Downy Mildew Forecasts - Friday, October 5, 2018

 

*** Epidemic Update - 5 October: First report from Maine. CDM has been confirmed in Penobscot County, ME. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

*** Epidemic Update - 26 September: New report from MS. CDM has been confirmed in Copiah County, MS. Please view the Epidemic History for details. ***

 

Regional Weather: Eastern United States / southern Canada

Generally dry; active parts of North and Central. A front wobbles over the mid-Atlantic / Ohio Valley / Midwest on Friday. It breaks apart and forms a more well-defined front on Saturday that runs from the Great Lakes into the central Plains. The substantial precipitation falls near the fronts, especially from the Great Lakes through the Midwest. Hot, with highs most areas in the 70s to 90s, lows from the 50s to 70s.

 

OUTLOOK:

Overview: Epidemic spread possible North and Central. Conditions for survivable transport and deposition are slightly favorable in most cases, mixed in some others in the central sections. Transport events track in a variety of directions.

Risk prediction map for Day 1: Friday, October 5

Moderate Risk to cucurbits in central and eastern KY, and central TN. Low Risk for the coastal NC, western NC, eastern TN, western and southwest VA, southern WV, southeast KY, IN, western and northern OH, southern ON, central and southern MI, southern WI, far northern IL, and eastern IA. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Risk prediction map for Day 2: Saturday, October 6

Moderate Risk to cucurbits near the LA source, and in most of SC, all but northeast NC, southwest VA, southern WV, eastern KY, and northeast TN. Low Risk to cucurbits in southwest AL, southern MS, southeast IA, northern IL, southern WI, central and northern IN, central and southern MI, central and northern OH, southern ON, western and central PA, all but southeast NY, and VT and NH. Minimal Risk to cucurbits otherwise.

Forecaster: TK at NCSU for the Cucurbit ipmPIPE - 2018